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October 3, 2020

“There’ll Be No Escape From Telephones” – This 1953 Prediction for Cellphone Actually Comes True!

In an April 1953 newspaper article in the Tacoma News Tribune, Mark Sullivan, who was the president of the Pacific Telephone and Telegraph Company, made an uncannily accurate prediction about the future of the telephone. He said:
“Just what form the future telephone will take is, of course, pure speculation. Here is my prophecy:

“In its final development, the telephone will be carried about by the individual, perhaps as we carry a watch today. It probably will require no dial or equivalent, and I think the users will be able to see each other, if they want, as they talk.

“Who knows but what it may actually translate from one language to another?”

The above-displayed report was written by the Associated Press and was published in a variety of papers in 1953.

While we have not been able to locate this exact clipping in the Tacoma News Tribune, folks from Snope have found this story published in news outlets such as The Spokane Chronicle, The News Journal, The Akron Beacon Journal, and The Boston Globe:

The Boston Globe (Boston, Massachusetts) – Apr 10, 1953

The Akron Beacon Journal (Akron, Ohio) – April 12, 1953

The News Journal (Wilmington, Delaware) –  April 10, 1953

The Spokane Chronicle (Spokane, Washington) – Apr 10, 1953

The 1953 prediction has proved to be largely accurate. Modern phones are certainly “carried about by the individual.” Phones can also be integrated with smartwatches, perform video calls, and provide near-instantaneous translations.

While this is a genuine newspaper clipping from 1953 containing a largely accurate prediction about modern phones, we’d like to provide a little additional context to this rumor. For starters, the person making these claims was the president of a phone company and was likely privy to latest developments in the field. For instance, while it wouldn’t be until the 1960s for the first cordless phone to be invented, and the 1980s for true mobile phones to hit the market, the foundations for these products were being laid prior to 1953.

In 1946, AT&T offered the first commercial mobile telephone service to subscribers in St. Louis. Users had to have about 80 pounds of equipment installed in their cars, and the service could only handle a handful of calls at a time, but it did mark the beginning of the mobile-phone era. Video calls, too, can be traced back to at least the 1930s. While it would take decades for this technology to be refined into a commercial product, the concept of video calling wasn’t entirely far-fetched in 1953. Lastly, it should be noted that Sullivan wasn’t the first to envision a smartwatch. While this product wasn’t in development in the 1950s (as far as we can tell), smartwatches had popped up a few times in fictional content. Detective Dick Tracy’s two-way watch radio made its debut in 1946:

Sullivan would serve at the helm of Pacific Telephone until 1945. He later led another firm, Potomac Telephone Companies. As for Pacific Telephone, it would go on to be known as Pacific Bell (aka PacBell) and was part of a set of companies acquired by AT&T.

(via Snopes)


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